CFA Society Chicago Events
Investing for the Long-Term: Productivity, Capital Markets Expectations, and Portfolio Management
Panel 1: Productivity Origins
Panel 2: Long Term Capital Market Expectations and Political Realities
*Limited sponsorships available, please contact Kim Augustyn at firstname.lastname@example.org.
CFA Institute Qualified Activity: Eligible for 2.5 credit hours
Attire: Business Casual
Menu: Hors d'oeuvres and refreshments
Hosted by: Education Advisory Group
Michele Gambera is head of Quantitative Analysis. In this role he leads the team developing and maintaining quantitative models for the portfolio management teams in the Investment Solutions team, focusing on the needs of sophisticated institutional clients. Gambera joined UBS Asset Management in 2010 from Ibbotson Associates, Morningstar's asset allocation consultancy, where he had been senior research consultant and chief economist since 2006. In his more than nine years at Morningstar, he was also a senior quantitative analyst and then chief economist for Morningstar Associates LLC. Prior to joining Morningstar, he worked for the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago for two years as an economist in the Supervision and Regulation division. Alongside his extensive economic and quantitative analysis experience, Gambera has a strong academic background and has held various teaching roles, most recently on the Master of Quantitative Finance program at University of Illinois. He is often quoted by the press including the Wall Street Journal and the New York Times. He is a member of the Chicago Quantitative Alliance and the CFA Society Chicago.
Robert Gordon is the Stanley G. Harris professor in the Social Sciences and professor of economics at Northwestern University, a Fellow of the Econometric Society and the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, and a Distinguished Fellow of the American Economic Association. He is a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research and a member of the NBER's Business Cycle Dating Committee, a Research Fellow of the Centre for Economic Policy Research (London) and the Observatoire Français des Conjunctures Economiques (OFCE, Paris), and an economic adviser to the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
One of the world's most influential economists, Gordon has attracted worldwide attention from academics, print media, and the blogosphere by his controversial analysis predicting that future economic growth in the U. S. will be a mere fraction of its historic rate. He was selected in 2013 as one of Bloomberg's Top 10 Most Influential Thinkers and more recently for the Politico 50, those shaping the political debate in 2016.
In his acclaimed and best-selling 2016 book, The Rise and fall of American Growth, Gordon argues that the true driver of economic growth over the last century was a series of one-time inventions whose impact has come and passed. Electricity, internal combustion engine, running water, indoor toilets, communications, entertainment, chemicals, petroleum - these created a wave of growth unmatched in human history. But they have had their effect: they have created all the U.S. growth they ever will. And the current wave of online and mobile innovations, by contrast, will never create the same sort of boom in growth that those more fundamental industrial innovations did. The Rise and fall of American Growth has been shortlisted for the FT/ McKinsey Best Business Book of 2016.
What's more, the U.S. is facing six devastating factors that will slow any growth that could come from new innovations: demography, education, inequality, globalization, energy/environment, and debt. Between the loss of life-changing innovation and the drag of these six "headwinds", U.S. growth could fall below 0.5 percent per year for decades. This new research joins his earlier studies showing that conventional data greatly understate the welfare of Europe relative to the U.S.; why European productivity growth has lagged that of the U.S. since 1995; why U.S. income inequality has widened since 1975; and why unemployment increased so much relative to the behavior of output in the 2008-09 U.S. recession.
Gordon's books include Macroeconomics, twelfth edition, The Measurement of Durable Goods Prices, The American Business Cycle, and The Economics of New Goods. His book of collected essays is Productivity Growth, Inflation, and Unemployment.
Jim McDonald is the chief investment strategist for Northern Trust. He is co-portfolio manager of the Northern Global Tactical Asset Allocation Fund (BBALX), chairs the Northern Trust tactical asset allocation committee, is a member of the investment policy committee, and is trustee of the 50 South Capital Alpha Strategies and Equity Long/Short Strategies Hedge Funds. Prior to joining Northern Trust in 2001 as the director of equity research, McDonald was director of equity research at ABN AMRO in New York and Chicago and equity research analyst at ABN AMRO following the environmental services industry. He started his professional career with Arthur Andersen & Co. in Detroit. McDonald received his bachelor's degree from the University of Michigan and his MBA degree with high distinction from Babson College. He is a member of the CFA Society Chicago and a registered CPA in the State of Michigan.
Deirdre Nansen McCloskey, Emerita Professor at the University of Illinois at Chicago, has for fifty years taught economics, history, literature, writing, philosophy, and communications; 12 years at the University of Chicago in its glory days, 19 years at Iowa, and visiting appointments worldwide. Her latest of seventeen books, an optimistic note in the chorus of the-sky-is-falling, Bourgeois Equality: How Ideas, Not Capital or Institutions, Enriched the World (2016), has been well received. It is the third of a trilogy: The Bourgeois Virtues: Ethics for an Age of Commerce (2006), Bourgeois Dignity: Why Economics Can't Explain the Modern World (2010), and finally Equality, all published by the University of Chicago Press. She has written for among others Reason magazine, the Financial Times, the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, the (London) Times Higher Education Supplement, and The New Republic.
Rick Rieder, Managing Director, is BlackRock's chief investment officer of Global Fixed Income, and co-head of BlackRock's Global Fixed Income platform, a member of BlackRock's Global Operating Committee and chairman of the firm-wide BlackRock Investment Council. Before joining BlackRock in 2009, Rieder was president and chief executive officer of R3 Capital Partners. From 1987 to 2008, Mr. Rieder was with Lehman Brothers, most recently as head of the firm's Global Principal Strategies team, a global proprietary investment platform. He served as vice chairman and member of the Borrowing Committee for the U.S. Treasury and is currently a member of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York's Investment Advisory Committee on Financial Markets.
Mr. Rieder currently serves on Alphabet's Investment Advisory Committee and the UBS Research Advisory Board. He was awarded the Global Unconstrained Fixed Income Manager of the Year for 2015 by Institutional Investor, was nominated for Fixed Income Manager of the Year by Institutional Investor for 2014 and was inducted into the Fixed Income Analysts Society Fixed Income Hall of Fame in 2013.
Rieder is founder and chairman of the business school's BBA investment fund and community financial literacy program. He serves as chairman of the Board of North Star Academy's eleven Charter Schools in Newark, New Jersey and is the founder and chairman of the Board of Graduation Generation Public School Collaboration in Atlanta. He is a Trustee for the US Olympic Committee, and is on the International Advisory Council and Board of Advisors for the Hospital for Special Surgery. He serves on the National Leadership Council of the Communities in Schools Educational Foundation and on the board of Big Brothers/Big Sisters of Newark and Essex County. Rieder was honored at the Choose Success Awards ceremony in Atlanta in 2015 for his dedication to public education in Atlanta through CIS and Graduation Generation. Rieder earned a BBA degree in Finance from Emory University in 1983 and an MBA degree from The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania in 1987. He is a member of the board of Emory University, Emory's Business School, and the University's Investment Committee and is the Vice Chairman of the Finance Committee.
Francisco Torralba, CFA, is the senior economist at Morningstar Investment Management LLC. Francisco joined Morningstar in June of 2010. In his role as economist he tracks economic trends, prepares reports on the state of the economy, writes research papers and commentaries, delivers presentations to clients, and participates in the tactical asset allocation committee. Torralba holds a Ph.D. degree in economics from the University of Chicago and a bachelor's degree in economics from Universitat Pompeu Fabra in Barcelona, Spain. He earned the CFA designation in August 2013. Prior to joining Morningstar Torralba held positions as a credit analyst of municipal bonds for Nuveen in Chicago, and as financial auditor for KPMG in Spain.
*Special Notes Regarding Fees:
CFA Institute CE Qualified Activity
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